Results 4 Nov 2026, 21:41 UK · Stats 3 Nov 2026, 00:00 UK
How they compare
Current season · up to six games per club in the selected venues.
Nottingham Forest6 games · home + awayLast 6 · all venuesManchester City6 games · home + away
0.672.00
1.722.04
0.981.45
+0.74+0.59
0.450.36
10.6610.31
+4.33+9.83
+1.00+0.83
Match forecast
Experimental
Recent and historical xG, adjusted for opponents and home advantage.
Nottingham Forest win30.0%
Draw24.5%
Manchester City win45.5%
Forest win or drawA positive result for Forest54.5%
Predicted goalsNottingham Forest 1.26 · Manchester City 1.61
Leading scorelinesNottingham Forest – Manchester City
1–111.5%
1–29.3%
0–19.1%
Next-match outcome distribution
Nottingham Forest (H) v Manchester City (A)
From Forest’s perspective: left = defeat, 0 = draw, right = win.
Draw: 24.5%
Forest defeatDrawForest win
Calculated directly from the same model goal probabilities—not from the season simulations. A draw can be the most likely exact score even when one team has the higher total win probability.
Nottingham Forest have home advantage. Manchester City also rate stronger over the longer term. The comparison above describes the selected games; this forecast uses a longer window and adjusts for the opposition. Comparison filters do not change the forecast.
Recent matches count more, while earlier seasons keep a short run from dominating. Tested on 1610 past matches using only information from before each game. Player absences are not yet included.
Bar = each game Line = six-game average · four-game warm-up · xGD / match
Nottingham Forest
Brentford (A)31 Oct 2026 · 2026/27
L 0–2
+0.396-game avg +0.74
Manchester City
Brighton & Hove Albion (H)31 Oct 2026 · 2026/27
L 0–1
+0.926-game avg +0.59
The venue matchup
Nottingham Forest at home vs Manchester City away
Three points for a win, one for a draw. Match performance points, before league deductions.
Nottingham Forest homeManchester City away
Six-game averages on one scale · points / game
Nottingham ForestHome
0.006-game avg 0.50
L 0–1 · Arsenal (H)18 Oct 2026 · 2026/27
Manchester CityAway
0.006-game avg 1.83
L 1–2 · Aston Villa (A)24 Oct 2026 · 2026/27
Oldest → latest venue appearance for each club, not the same fixtures. Dashed vertical markers show a new season.
Player availability
Updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:41 UK
Reported availability for the next game, not confirmed starting lineups.
Nottingham Forest
Igor Jesus Maciel da CruzInjured · 0% to play
Calf injury - Unknown return date
257 season mins · 2 starts · 1 goals · 0 assists · News 9 Oct 2026
Nicolás DomínguezDoubtful · 75% to play
Muscular injury - 75% chance of playing
74 season mins · 1 starts · 0 goals · 0 assists · News 24 Oct 2026
Nicolò SavonaInjured · 0% to play
Knee injury - Unknown return date
0 season mins · 0 starts · 0 goals · 0 assists · News 23 Jul 2026
Manchester City
Antoine SemenyoInjured · 0% to play
Knee injury - Unknown return date
553 season mins · 6 starts · 2 goals · 3 assists · News 17 Oct 2026
How to read this preview
Each club is shown in its own game order, not assumed to share a gameweek schedule. The line needs six consecutive recorded games; ratio stats use pooled denominators. Missing data stays blank and breaks the line. The venue comparison switches automatically with Forest's fixture and can cross seasons. Its first rolling point can use the preceding five matches outside the visible twenty. News and match data retain their own update times.
